California Burns & Tech Offers Hope

TECH IN THE NEWS

LA WildfiresUpdate: Mayor says 'urgent prep' being made for strong winds. Death toll hits 24 +10,000 structures destroyed. Damage potentially reaching $250B. Watch Duty app surpassed ChatGPT as #1 on the App Store with 1.5M downloads.

Market Update — US markets declined Monday after a strong jobs report and rising inflation dampened rate cut hopes ahead of Weds fed meeting; The DXY hit a 2 year high and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell, while crypto ETFs saw major outflows.

AI Export Controls — New Biden rules require licenses for advanced AI tech exports, allowing free trade with 20 allied nations while restricting others and on-selling by allies, with model weights barred from "non-trusted actors" including China.

Hardware PushOpenAI launched a robotics division led by ex-Meta AR head Caitlin Kalinowski, it aims to develop general-purpose robots for the real-world.

AI Workforce Impact — A WEF report shows 86% of companies expect AI transformation by 2030, predicting 11M new jobs and 9M displaced, with 75% planning on employee upskilling.

Tesla Spurned — The Department of Transportation announced another $636M in funding for 49 applicants building EV charging infrastructure. Tesla’s $100M big rig charging corridor proposal was passed over.

COMPANIES TO WATCH

Truveta — The Seattle health data company raised $320M and announced an ambitious new initiative to create a giant genome dataset.

Vultr — The AI cloud infrastructure startup raised $333M at a $3.5B valuation from AMD Ventures and LuminArx, in its first outside funding round.

Rooms — Trending AI-3D room design app hit 1M ‘rooms’ and raised $1M from Google Ventures, following an earlier $10M from a16z and an Instagram co-founder.

Anthropic — The foundation AI model startup is near to raising $2B at a $60B valuation (~40% of OpenAI's $157B), just months after securing $4B from Amazon.

THE HOTTEST THING IN TECH
California Burns: Tech Solutions, Economic Realities, and a Resilient Future

California is once again facing a devastating wildfire crisis, with the greater Los Angeles area bearing the brunt of the destruction. The scale of the fires is immense, with the Palisades Fire at 23,713 acres and only 14% contained, and the Eaton Fire at 14,117 acres, 33% contained. These fires have not only led to the tragic loss of lives, with at least 24 deaths reported and 23 missing, but also the destruction of tens of thousands of structures, disrupting communities and sparking a debate about the future of property ownership and disaster preparedness in the state. These events are not just a human tragedy, but a significant economic event with far-reaching implications for insurance, real estate, and the technology sector.

A drier than usual rainy season and The infamous Santa Ana winds, have created conditions for rapid and explosive growth, leaving communities reeling and highlighting the vulnerability of even affluent neighborhoods, like Pacific Palisades, where insurance costs are now under scrutiny. The magnitude of the destruction has prompted a state of emergency, bringing into sharp focus the complex interplay of environmental factors, policy decisions, and technological innovation.

A Confluence of Causes

While the immediate cause of these fires may be varied, several underlying factors contribute to the severity of the situation:

Changing Climate: Warmer oceans and a lack of significant rainfall since last March have created extremely dry conditions, essentially making fire season year round and making it more difficult to contain these blazes.

Water Management: Governor Newsom and President-elect Trump are not on good terms. Newsom is concerned that Trump threatened to withhold federal aid if California did not reinstate his first admin policies, when he redirected water from the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta towards farmers in Southern California. Water policy and allocation may become a major political flashpoint post-inauguration next week.

Insurance Industry Challenges: The California homeowner's insurance market is strained. The state's consumer-friendly regulations, designed to keep prices low, have discouraged insurers, prompting some to scale back coverage. As a result, many homeowners are being dropped by their insurance companies and turning to a state-run pool, which is now covering billions of dollars of property, ($5.9B in Palisades alone). This is unsustainable in the long run, and the relatively low premiums in high-risk markets in California, compared to other states, might be ending due to the regulatory changes and scale of the current wildfires.

Fragmented Regulatory Landscape: The patchwork of private and public regulations and the shifting balance of power between state and federal authorities creates a complex landscape for disaster preparedness and response. California is seeing more natural disasters, while insurers are decreasingly willing to take on the risk. The state's Fair Access to Insurance Requirements (FAIR) plan is allowed to assess insurance companies which will have impact nationwide as well as policyholders in California.

AI, Drones, & Rapid Response Tech Solutions

In the face of these challenges, tech is emerging as a crucial and more positive element of wildfire management. Some of the key technologies being deployed are:

Watch Duty App: This app surpassed ChatGPT as #1 on Apple‘s App Store with 1.5M downloads during the early days of the fire. The app is leveraging real time information from first responder radio dispatches. It provides interactive, customizable fire maps, evacuation zones, shelter locations, air quality data, and wind direction. It has become a crucial resource for residents who have been able to evacuate their homes even before official orders because of the app’s alerts.

AI-Powered Early Detection: AlertCalifornia utilizes AI to detect wildfires before they spread. This technology is critical for initiating rapid responses and preventing small fires from becoming large-scale disasters. However, Forbes reported that despite some successes in early detection, California's AI-powered fire detection cameras struggled to manage the fires, due to the rapid escalation and complexity. This highlights the need for solutions that exceed our current tech’s capacity.

What Else Could be Done

A number of even more extreme and longer-term innovations have also been developed and trialled elsewhere including AI assistance and extreme geoengineering:

FireDome: An Israel-based company has developed an innovative system which combines cameras, AI, and fire retardants to defend against wildfires. The system is self-sufficient and monitors the property continuously, deploying a protective barrier and fire retardant only when a threat is detected. This system is designed to be eco-friendly and effective for controlling the spread of fires, offering a proactive, automated approach to wildfire defense.

Drone Swarms for Firefighting: UK researchers have pioneering the use of AI-piloted drone swarms for wildfire detection and suppression. These autonomous drones can work together using AI to spot and extinguish fires, carrying water or fire retardant, with the potential to monitor large areas such as the size of the state of California. The primary goal of the drone swarms is to prevent smaller fires from escalating. It’s a major leap forward in autonomous response capabilities.

Cloud Seeding Drones: In China, advanced drone technology is being used for weather modification operations, particularly in the Kunlun Mountains. These drones are equipped with high-precision sensors and release catalysts to enhance water content in clouds, with the goal of increasing snow and rain to replenish water resources. This tech could be scaled up to preemptively create more resilience in water-scarce US communities as well as to deal with other environmental issues.

Investing in Prevention and Adaptation

The current crisis should serve as a call to action, prompting a rethinking of how we approach wildfire management and community resilience:

Prioritize Prevention: The focus should shift towards preventative measures like better landscape management, improved building codes to enhance fire resistance, and public education campaigns to minimize the risk of human-caused fires.

Invest in Tech: Continued investment in technologies like AI-powered detection systems, drone swarms, and advanced fire retardants is crucial. These tools can improve response times, reduce the spread of fires, and protect communities. The current crisis is already estimated to cost as much as $250B, and a recent report indicates that the total cost of wildfires in the US is between $394B & $893B each year. Funding these innovative technologies could help mitigate these losses.

Reimagine Insurance: The insurance industry needs to adapt to the likely new reality of more frequent and intense wildfires. This includes exploring alternative insurance models, possibly involving more public-private partnerships. Regulations could encourage insurers to stay in high-risk markets while also ensuring reasonable rates. The current regulatory landscape is unsustainable

Community Preparedness: Communities in high-risk areas could be educated on preparedness measures, evacuation plans, and the importance of community collaboration during disasters. Apps like Watch Duty are a great example of the power of information sharing and community resilience.

Rebuilding Strategically: When rebuilding, communities should consider more resilient building practices and water use and mitigation measures. This may mean rethinking where to build and how to build to be more water sensitive and adaptive.

Address Funding Gaps: There needs to be a more robust and sustainable approach to funding disaster relief. Currently, state-backed insurance plans and FEMA bear the brunt of costs. A more equitable and predictable funding model is essential.

Looking Ahead

While the challenges are significant, the emergence of innovative tech solutions offers hope for a more water-resilient future. The fires highlight growing risks and opportunities for many regions nationwide and worldwide. The TechBuzz is here to keep you informed, help you invest wisely, and to support efforts to build future cities and rural communities that are both economically prosperous and water-sensitive.

“When you look at birds and ants and bees, they can do beautiful, complex behaviours by co-ordinating and so we take inspiration from that to co-ordinate large numbers of robots.”

 Sabine Hauert, prof. U. of Bristol, Project Partner, AI-piloted drone swarms pilot

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Watch DutyWildfire tracking app surpasses ChatGPT as #1 on App Store.

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AMDAgent Lab framework for LLM research assistants, cuts costs by 84%.

Astral — New automated AI platform for Reddit marketing & content creation.

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